Discussion about this post

User's avatar
GD's avatar

Wow. A tour de force. Thank you.

Expand full comment
Francis de Beixedon's avatar

If the policy recommendation for the U.S. is just to spread awareness of the problem to get people excited about building, which then leads to a momentary political coalition that permits a once in a century buildout which ceases once a critical mass of people feel harmed, isn’t that just how the American socio-political system normally works? Even if the US’s history as a civilization is not long relative to other societies, we already have enough data to make out the contours of a cycle.

On the other hand, who knows what a Leninist developmental state with Chinese characteristics will do once its primary reason to exist (rapid development) becomes impossible due to the iron laws of economics? A bureaucratized perpetual revolution seems like a decent proposal for a solution given the CCP’s ideological and historical context, but it remains to be seen whether this will work in the long run.

Although it retains many imperial legacies, the PRC marks a firm break with the past and the history most relevant to guessing what the future may bring to China is even shorter than the U.S.’s. And the lovely thing about an unconstrained centralized corporatist state is that the stakes of “getting it to work” are extremely high, since the party’s failure is everyone’s failure and replacing leaders to get a do-over is not a pretty process.

Meanwhile, when the American developmental state goes into dormancy, the worst that happens is bridges start to rust and pipes leak, leading to complaints and political mobilization, a targeted buildout, and then it goes back into dormancy. Dan Wang relied on vibes of American doomerism and eternal Chinese global hegemony on the horizon to raise the stakes for the U.S., which is understandable given the need to spread awareness. However, in this bilateral comparison, the most obvious difference is unconstrained executive power and I fear increasingly many Americans are taking inspiration from that rather than the actual tactical problem of our built environments.

We’re Americans, nobody is coming to save us but ourselves. We should be angry that we aren’t building, and not because we have a weak state and effete leaders, but because as free people we will not stand for cracked roads and decrepit buildings. The decision to build is public and gathering a sufficiently large coalition requires public education, persuasion, horse trading, maybe a touch of bullying, etc.

In short, my personal sense is that the U.S. actually gets a lot right about its system. Based on Jonathon’s review I believe that the path forward is not to redesign our state and society from the ground up, but to just do politics: pass laws, fund building projects, and relax regulations. Discouraging people from becoming lawyers would not be the most effective use of our effort. Then regarding China, it has done a lot right but the design of its system is still unsettled…and the stakes are troublingly high.

Thoughts welcome and Jonathon rocks for interrogating this book so rigorously.

Expand full comment
6 more comments...

No posts